Reading the Thermometer's History: Trend, Range, and What Warming or Cooling Means
CryptoRebateHub Editorial Team
A single day's score gives position; the history gives direction. How to read the 90-day range, what the warming slope means, the statistics of zone dwell time, and three practical ways to use the 400-day archive.
Many people glance at the thermometer score once a day and close the tab. Fine — but that uses half the product's information. The other half lives in the history. The score is a photograph; the trajectory is the film.
Trend beats level
The same 35 means opposite things depending on its path: "35 climbed from 20" is repair momentum out of the bottom zone; "35 fallen from 50" is mid-zone deterioration. On the dashboard's history curve, read slope before level — the direction of the past 30 days usually carries more actionable meaning than today's absolute number.
Using the 90-day range
The "last 90 days range" under the homepage card (say 16–34) is instant context: where does today sit within the quarter? Hugging the lower bound = coldest of the quarter; hugging the upper = the quarter's warmest. The width itself is informative — a narrow range means the model's judgment has been highly stable for a quarter; a wide one means the cycle state is shifting gears.
The statistics of dwell time
A counterintuitive backtest finding: the score dwells in extreme zones (<20 or >80) far longer than intuition suggests. The 2022 bottom zone lasted about five months; the early-2021 top zone persisted for months too. "Entering an extreme zone" is therefore a signal to begin acting in tranches, not to act all at once — extremes persist, so positions must be layered.
Three practical routines
- Check the 90-day curve every Sunday and classify the week as warming or cooling. 2. Treat crossings of the 20/40/60/80 boundaries as calendar events for reviewing position size. 3. Overlay your own past trades on the 400-day archive — you will see, honestly, whether you or the model was closer to right in hindsight. The data is also open as a JSON endpoint (documented on the thermometer page) if you want to run your own analysis.
Boundary note
The history is a probabilistic reference, updated once daily after 00:00 UTC. What the zones mean is covered in the bottom checklist and the indicator pieces (mining cost, weekly MACD) — understanding what the score is made of matters more than memorising any number.
